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CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition case study


At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Gordhan Saini, Anupam Kaura. The CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition (referred as “Crisil Ratings” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Organizational Development. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Human resource management, Labor.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment




Case Description of CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition Case Study


CRISIL Limited (CRISIL) was a pioneer in the ratings business in India and a market leader in the industry. However, the company was facing a high level of competition in attracting and retaining talent not only from ratings companies but also from other sectors such as start-ups, banks, and financial institutions. Against this backdrop, one of the major strategic tasks for the president and head of Human Resources was to identify the main dimensions of an employee value proposition that could be used to position CRISIL as a strong employer brand in the minds of current and potential employees. Gordhan Saini is affiliated with Tata Institute of Social Sciences.


Case Authors : Gordhan Saini, Anupam Kaura

Topic : Organizational Development

Related Areas : Human resource management, Labor




Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition Case Study


Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10022507) -10022507 - -
Year 1 3443952 -6578555 3443952 0.9434 3249011
Year 2 3971833 -2606722 7415785 0.89 3534917
Year 3 3939275 1332553 11355060 0.8396 3307491
Year 4 3236302 4568855 14591362 0.7921 2563454
TOTAL 14591362 12654874


The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2632367

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting


What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.




Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting


There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Payback Period
2. Internal Rate of Return
3. Net Present Value
4. Profitability Index

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Crisil Ratings have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Crisil Ratings shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.




Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Organizational Development Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Crisil Ratings often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Crisil Ratings needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10022507) -10022507 - -
Year 1 3443952 -6578555 3443952 0.8696 2994741
Year 2 3971833 -2606722 7415785 0.7561 3003276
Year 3 3939275 1332553 11355060 0.6575 2590137
Year 4 3236302 4568855 14591362 0.5718 1850366
TOTAL 10438521


The Net NPV after 4 years is 416014

(10438521 - 10022507 )






Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%


If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10022507) -10022507 - -
Year 1 3443952 -6578555 3443952 0.8333 2869960
Year 2 3971833 -2606722 7415785 0.6944 2758217
Year 3 3939275 1332553 11355060 0.5787 2279673
Year 4 3236302 4568855 14591362 0.4823 1560717
TOTAL 9468567


The Net NPV after 4 years is -553940

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9468567 - 10022507 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Crisil Ratings to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.



Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Crisil Ratings has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Crisil Ratings can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Crisil Ratings, then the stock price of the Crisil Ratings should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Crisil Ratings should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.




References & Further Readings

Gordhan Saini, Anupam Kaura (2018), "CRISIL: Designing a Compelling Employee Value Proposition Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.