Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Antonio Davila, Marc Wouters. The Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs (referred as “Sigmax Etching” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Finance & Accounting. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Manufacturing, Product development.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs Case Study

SigmaX is the latest generation of manufacturing equipment for integrated circuits (semiconductor chips). SigmaX is used to perform one of the manufacturing steps called etching. As it usually happens at Applied Materials and because of the time pressure and the complexity of the technology involved, any other considerations--including product cost--are eclipsed during its development. But when SigmaX reaches the manufacturing stage (Worldwide Manufacturing Operations), product cost management becomes key to ensure adequate profits. At this point, Bill Finday and his team are in charge of managing product costs down. To achieve their objective, first they need to understand why actual costs are above expected costs. Next, they need to explore the various alternatives open to them to manage costs down initially to the planned level and then below it in an effort to maintain margins as competition drives prices down. Furthermore, a new generation of etching equipment will be developed soon and Bill and his team have to make recommendations regarding how to change the product development process to enhance the visibility of cost considerations.

Case Authors : Antonio Davila, Marc Wouters

Topic : Finance & Accounting

Related Areas : Manufacturing, Product development

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10019116)	-10019116	-	-
Year 1	3458265	-6560851	3458265	0.9434	3262514
Year 2	3961968	-2598883	7420233	0.89	3526137
Year 3	3964220	1365337	11384453	0.8396	3328436
Year 4	3239371	4604708	14623824	0.7921	2565885
TOTAL			14623824		12682972

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2663856

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Profitability Index
3. Internal Rate of Return
4. Payback Period

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Sigmax Etching shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Sigmax Etching have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Finance & Accounting Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Sigmax Etching often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Sigmax Etching needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10019116)	-10019116	-	-
Year 1	3458265	-6560851	3458265	0.8696	3007187
Year 2	3961968	-2598883	7420233	0.7561	2995817
Year 3	3964220	1365337	11384453	0.6575	2606539
Year 4	3239371	4604708	14623824	0.5718	1852121
TOTAL					10461664

The Net NPV after 4 years is 442548

(10461664 - 10019116 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10019116)	-10019116	-	-
Year 1	3458265	-6560851	3458265	0.8333	2881888
Year 2	3961968	-2598883	7420233	0.6944	2751367
Year 3	3964220	1365337	11384453	0.5787	2294109
Year 4	3239371	4604708	14623824	0.4823	1562197
TOTAL					9489560

The Net NPV after 4 years is -529556

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9489560 - 10019116 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Sigmax Etching to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Sigmax Etching has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Sigmax Etching can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Sigmax Etching, then the stock price of the Sigmax Etching should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Sigmax Etching should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs

References & Further Readings

Antonio Davila, Marc Wouters (2018), "Applied Materials: Managing Product Costs Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.