RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Jiban Mukhopadhyay, Garg Mayank, Saumya Oli, Amit Kumar. The RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line (referred as “Rlek Ngo” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Strategy & Execution. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Organizational culture, Strategy.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line Case Study

This case details Rural Litigation and Entitlement Kendra's (RLEK) transformation from a small movement to a well-established organization of more than 150 people. The focus of the case is on identifying the main features of the hill community advocacy group's seemingly perfect setup and recommending solutions to help RLEK move to the next level. The case briefs the reader on RLEK's background as a non-governmental organization (NGO), the reason for its inception, and its current methodology and strategy. Sections on finance, operations, projects, awards, organizational structure, and culture provide insight into the functioning of the NGO. The case also discusses the various problems faced by RLEK in its day-to-day operations, including intense competition, employee attrition, non-streamlined operations, and challenges to its operating principle of "the real bottom line" (i.e., the development of marginalized and underprivileged societies). The protagonist in the case faces a host of unanswered questions.

Case Authors : Jiban Mukhopadhyay, Garg Mayank, Saumya Oli, Amit Kumar

Topic : Strategy & Execution

Related Areas : Organizational culture, Strategy

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10007727)	-10007727	-	-
Year 1	3468926	-6538801	3468926	0.9434	3272572
Year 2	3973198	-2565603	7442124	0.89	3536132
Year 3	3958383	1392780	11400507	0.8396	3323535
Year 4	3223971	4616751	14624478	0.7921	2553687
TOTAL			14624478		12685925

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2678198

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Payback Period
3. Profitability Index
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Rlek Ngo have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Rlek Ngo shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Strategy & Execution Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Rlek Ngo often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Rlek Ngo needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10007727)	-10007727	-	-
Year 1	3468926	-6538801	3468926	0.8696	3016457
Year 2	3973198	-2565603	7442124	0.7561	3004309
Year 3	3958383	1392780	11400507	0.6575	2602701
Year 4	3223971	4616751	14624478	0.5718	1843316
TOTAL					10466783

The Net NPV after 4 years is 459056

(10466783 - 10007727 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10007727)	-10007727	-	-
Year 1	3468926	-6538801	3468926	0.8333	2890772
Year 2	3973198	-2565603	7442124	0.6944	2759165
Year 3	3958383	1392780	11400507	0.5787	2290731
Year 4	3223971	4616751	14624478	0.4823	1554770
TOTAL					9495438

The Net NPV after 4 years is -512289

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9495438 - 10007727 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Rlek Ngo to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Rlek Ngo has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Rlek Ngo can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Rlek Ngo, then the stock price of the Rlek Ngo should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Rlek Ngo should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line

References & Further Readings

Jiban Mukhopadhyay, Garg Mayank, Saumya Oli, Amit Kumar (2018), "RLEK: Survival with the Real Bottom Line Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.