Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Christoph Senn, George S. Yip. The Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets (referred as “Customer Network” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Strategy & Execution. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Customers, Networking.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets Case Study

In this age of tough, global competition, companies in business-to-business markets need to rethink the way they manage their customer portfolio and interact with their customers. Customer managers with mainly sales- or relationship-oriented roles cannot leverage their business relationships with customers who seek co-creation. For such co-creation relationships, companies need to install network-oriented managers who systematically create value and reduce risk together with the customer. This article distinguishes three customer asset management perspectives (i.e., sales, relationship, and network) that may be employed by customer managers at the supplier-customer interface. Following an explication of the evolving network perspective, it describes how firms can nurture the network perspective and the corresponding customer manager role in terms of mindset, context, and competence.

Case Authors : Christoph Senn, George S. Yip

Topic : Strategy & Execution

Related Areas : Customers, Networking

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10004992)	-10004992	-	-
Year 1	3468454	-6536538	3468454	0.9434	3272126
Year 2	3955831	-2580707	7424285	0.89	3520676
Year 3	3957966	1377259	11382251	0.8396	3323185
Year 4	3226077	4603336	14608328	0.7921	2555355
TOTAL			14608328		12671342

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2666350

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Profitability Index
2. Payback Period
3. Net Present Value
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Customer Network shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Customer Network have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Strategy & Execution Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Customer Network often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Customer Network needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10004992)	-10004992	-	-
Year 1	3468454	-6536538	3468454	0.8696	3016047
Year 2	3955831	-2580707	7424285	0.7561	2991177
Year 3	3957966	1377259	11382251	0.6575	2602427
Year 4	3226077	4603336	14608328	0.5718	1844520
TOTAL					10454170

The Net NPV after 4 years is 449178

(10454170 - 10004992 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10004992)	-10004992	-	-
Year 1	3468454	-6536538	3468454	0.8333	2890378
Year 2	3955831	-2580707	7424285	0.6944	2747105
Year 3	3957966	1377259	11382251	0.5787	2290490
Year 4	3226077	4603336	14608328	0.4823	1555786
TOTAL					9483758

The Net NPV after 4 years is -521234

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9483758 - 10004992 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Customer Network to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Customer Network has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Customer Network can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Customer Network, then the stock price of the Customer Network should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Customer Network should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets

References & Further Readings

Christoph Senn, George S. Yip (2018), "Customer-Centric Leadership: How to Manage Strategic Customers as Assets in B2B Markets Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.