×




Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" case study


At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by James L. Heskett, Richard Luecke. The Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" (referred as “Porcini's Pronto” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Technology & Operations. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Customers, Growth strategy, Human resource management, Motivating people, Performance measurement, Product development.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment






Case Description of Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" Case Study


Porcini's Inc. operates a chain of 23 full-service restaurants located near shopping malls and downtown areas in the northeastern United States. Known for providing excellent service, Porcini's serves high-quality Italian cuisine made from fresh ingredients. Looking for expansion opportunities, management considers launching a new chain of lower-cost, limited-menu restaurants called Porcini Pronto. The new outlets will be located along busy interstate highway exits in the region and will serve outstanding Italian food at reasonable prices to both travelers and local residents. Management is concerned that a poor customer experience at Porcini Pronto could tarnish the company's well-established and successful restaurant brand. The management team asks the vice president of marketing to develop the concept and to create an operating strategy for the new outlets. The VP must also analyze three alternative expansion strategies before management will make any commitments to the project. If Porcini's builds and operates the new restaurants, the company will maintain complete control of operations and the customer experience but expansion will take a very long time. Franchising and syndication are two other options which provide faster expansion but introduce the risk of losing control of the brand. The VP must analyze the options and make his final recommendation.


Case Authors : James L. Heskett, Richard Luecke

Topic : Technology & Operations

Related Areas : Customers, Growth strategy, Human resource management, Motivating people, Performance measurement, Product development




Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" Case Study


Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10018683) -10018683 - -
Year 1 3464031 -6554652 3464031 0.9434 3267954
Year 2 3976385 -2578267 7440416 0.89 3538968
Year 3 3950158 1371891 11390574 0.8396 3316629
Year 4 3243122 4615013 14633696 0.7921 2568856
TOTAL 14633696 12692407




The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2673724

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting


What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.




Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting


There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Payback Period
3. Internal Rate of Return
4. Profitability Index

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Porcini's Pronto have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Porcini's Pronto shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.






Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!"

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Technology & Operations Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Porcini's Pronto often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Porcini's Pronto needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.



Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10018683) -10018683 - -
Year 1 3464031 -6554652 3464031 0.8696 3012201
Year 2 3976385 -2578267 7440416 0.7561 3006718
Year 3 3950158 1371891 11390574 0.6575 2597293
Year 4 3243122 4615013 14633696 0.5718 1854266
TOTAL 10470478


The Net NPV after 4 years is 451795

(10470478 - 10018683 )








Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%


If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10018683) -10018683 - -
Year 1 3464031 -6554652 3464031 0.8333 2886693
Year 2 3976385 -2578267 7440416 0.6944 2761378
Year 3 3950158 1371891 11390574 0.5787 2285971
Year 4 3243122 4615013 14633696 0.4823 1564006
TOTAL 9498048


The Net NPV after 4 years is -520635

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9498048 - 10018683 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Porcini's Pronto to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.





Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Porcini's Pronto has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Porcini's Pronto can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Porcini's Pronto, then the stock price of the Porcini's Pronto should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Porcini's Pronto should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.






Negotiation Strategy of Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!"

References & Further Readings

James L. Heskett, Richard Luecke (2018), "Porcini's Pronto: "Great Italian cuisine without the wait!" Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.


Atect SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Healthcare , Biotechnology & Drugs


Omni Shrimp SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Consumer/Non-Cyclical , Fish/Livestock


Dalet SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Technology , Software & Programming


Tunas Alfin SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Basic Materials , Containers & Packaging


Avaco SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Technology , Semiconductors


Glomac SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Capital Goods , Construction Services


Cosel Co Ltd SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix

Technology , Electronic Instr. & Controls