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Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance case study


At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Maram Srikanth, Palanisamy Saravanan, Tara Shankar Shaw. The Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance (referred as “Cil Cil's” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Finance & Accounting. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, International business, Manufacturing, Policy.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment






Case Description of Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance Case Study


In April 2015, Coromandel International Limited (CIL), a manufacturer of fertilizers based in Chennai, India, requested that the National Bank of India increase CIL's existing short-term finance arrangement. CIL operated 14 state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities across India with a combined installed capacity of four million tonnes per annum and over 2,000 employees. It sold its products through a countrywide dealer network as well as in its own 800 retail chain stores, with plans for aggressive expansion both at home and to various countries in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa. However, CIL was dependent on government subsidies and, because many of its raw materials had to be imported, was also dependent on a positive foreign exchange rate. Over the previous three years, CIL had acquired four fertilizer companies as part of its growth strategy in inorganics. With extended short-term financing, CIL could integrate these companies and take advantage of the resulting synergy. The country head of the Wholesale Banking Group was concerned that CIL's request would exceed the bank's exposure norms on the fertilizer industry as well as the bank's prudential exposure limits on a single borrower. Should the bank accept CIL's request for enhanced short-term borrowing? Maram Srikanth is affiliated with Rajiv Gandhi Indian Institute of Management.


Case Authors : Maram Srikanth, Palanisamy Saravanan, Tara Shankar Shaw

Topic : Finance & Accounting

Related Areas : International business, Manufacturing, Policy




Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance Case Study


Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10003299) -10003299 - -
Year 1 3467982 -6535317 3467982 0.9434 3271681
Year 2 3977448 -2557869 7445430 0.89 3539915
Year 3 3952004 1394135 11397434 0.8396 3318179
Year 4 3227448 4621583 14624882 0.7921 2556441
TOTAL 14624882 12686216




The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2682917

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting


What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.




Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting


There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Payback Period
2. Net Present Value
3. Internal Rate of Return
4. Profitability Index

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Cil Cil's have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Cil Cil's shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.






Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Finance & Accounting Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Cil Cil's often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Cil Cil's needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.



Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10003299) -10003299 - -
Year 1 3467982 -6535317 3467982 0.8696 3015637
Year 2 3977448 -2557869 7445430 0.7561 3007522
Year 3 3952004 1394135 11397434 0.6575 2598507
Year 4 3227448 4621583 14624882 0.5718 1845304
TOTAL 10466969


The Net NPV after 4 years is 463670

(10466969 - 10003299 )








Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%


If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10003299) -10003299 - -
Year 1 3467982 -6535317 3467982 0.8333 2889985
Year 2 3977448 -2557869 7445430 0.6944 2762117
Year 3 3952004 1394135 11397434 0.5787 2287039
Year 4 3227448 4621583 14624882 0.4823 1556447
TOTAL 9495588


The Net NPV after 4 years is -507711

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9495588 - 10003299 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Cil Cil's to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.





Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Cil Cil's has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Cil Cil's can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Cil Cil's, then the stock price of the Cil Cil's should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Cil Cil's should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.






Negotiation Strategy of Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance

References & Further Readings

Maram Srikanth, Palanisamy Saravanan, Tara Shankar Shaw (2018), "Coromandel: Enhancement of Short-Term Finance Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.


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