Warner-Lambert Company Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Warner-Lambert Company case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Warner-Lambert Company case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Andrew C. Inkpen, John Zerio, Chris Hormann. The Warner-Lambert Company (referred as “Lambert Warner” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Global Business. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, .

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

Case Description of Warner-Lambert Company Case Study

This is a Thunderbird Case Study.In 1991, Warner-Lambert Company, a firm involved in three core businesses-ethical pharmaceuticals, nonprescription health care products, and confectionery-has just completed its most successful year ever. However, Mel Goodes, the new CEO, is worried that the current organizational structure is inconsistent with an increasingly global business environment. The key issue in the case is how to shift a classic multidomestic, country-oriented firm to a more responsive, tighter-linked global structure. This should lead to a discussion of the pros and cons of running a business on a global versus local basis. The issue becomes quite complex with Warner-Lambert because of the differences between its three core businesses.

Case Authors : Andrew C. Inkpen, John Zerio, Chris Hormann

Topic : Global Business

Related Areas :

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Warner-Lambert Company Case Study

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10006744) -10006744 - -
Year 1 3464018 -6542726 3464018 0.9434 3267942
Year 2 3960553 -2582173 7424571 0.89 3524878
Year 3 3971141 1388968 11395712 0.8396 3334247
Year 4 3234252 4623220 14629964 0.7921 2561831
TOTAL 14629964 12688897

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2682153

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Profitability Index
3. Internal Rate of Return
4. Payback Period

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Lambert Warner shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Lambert Warner have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Warner-Lambert Company

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Global Business Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Lambert Warner often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Lambert Warner needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10006744) -10006744 - -
Year 1 3464018 -6542726 3464018 0.8696 3012190
Year 2 3960553 -2582173 7424571 0.7561 2994747
Year 3 3971141 1388968 11395712 0.6575 2611090
Year 4 3234252 4623220 14629964 0.5718 1849194
TOTAL 10467220

The Net NPV after 4 years is 460476

(10467220 - 10006744 )

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10006744) -10006744 - -
Year 1 3464018 -6542726 3464018 0.8333 2886682
Year 2 3960553 -2582173 7424571 0.6944 2750384
Year 3 3971141 1388968 11395712 0.5787 2298114
Year 4 3234252 4623220 14629964 0.4823 1559728
TOTAL 9494908

The Net NPV after 4 years is -511836

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9494908 - 10006744 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Lambert Warner to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Lambert Warner has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Lambert Warner can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Lambert Warner, then the stock price of the Lambert Warner should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Lambert Warner should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

References & Further Readings

Andrew C. Inkpen, John Zerio, Chris Hormann (2018), "Warner-Lambert Company Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.