The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Mitchell Weiss, Michael I. Norton, Michael Norris, Sarah McAra. The The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments (referred as “Gravity Wage” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Leadership & Managing People. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Personnel policies.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments Case Study

In 2015, Gravity Payments CEO Dan Price took a massive pay cut to raise the minimum wage at his company to $70,000 annually. In the wake of a national discussion of wage equality, he was met with cheers and jeers. The company hoped that the buzz from the unorthodox move would generate enough new business to cover the increasing costs of compensation. Did Price make the right move? Would Gravity thrive or even survive?

Case Authors : Mitchell Weiss, Michael I. Norton, Michael Norris, Sarah McAra

Topic : Leadership & Managing People

Related Areas : Personnel policies

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10011719)	-10011719	-	-
Year 1	3460890	-6550829	3460890	0.9434	3264991
Year 2	3955464	-2595365	7416354	0.89	3520349
Year 3	3958478	1363113	11374832	0.8396	3323614
Year 4	3248158	4611271	14622990	0.7921	2572845
TOTAL			14622990		12681799

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2670080

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Profitability Index
2. Payback Period
3. Net Present Value
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Gravity Wage shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Gravity Wage have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Leadership & Managing People Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Gravity Wage often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Gravity Wage needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10011719)	-10011719	-	-
Year 1	3460890	-6550829	3460890	0.8696	3009470
Year 2	3955464	-2595365	7416354	0.7561	2990899
Year 3	3958478	1363113	11374832	0.6575	2602764
Year 4	3248158	4611271	14622990	0.5718	1857145
TOTAL					10460277

The Net NPV after 4 years is 448558

(10460277 - 10011719 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10011719)	-10011719	-	-
Year 1	3460890	-6550829	3460890	0.8333	2884075
Year 2	3955464	-2595365	7416354	0.6944	2746850
Year 3	3958478	1363113	11374832	0.5787	2290786
Year 4	3248158	4611271	14622990	0.4823	1566434
TOTAL					9488145

The Net NPV after 4 years is -523574

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9488145 - 10011719 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Gravity Wage to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Gravity Wage has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Gravity Wage can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Gravity Wage, then the stock price of the Gravity Wage should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Gravity Wage should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments

References & Further Readings

Mitchell Weiss, Michael I. Norton, Michael Norris, Sarah McAra (2018), "The $70K CEO at Gravity Payments Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.