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Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions case study


At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Julian Birkinshaw. The Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions (referred as “Intensive Road” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Leadership & Managing People. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Intellectual property, Managing people, Mergers & acquisitions, Strategic planning.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment






Case Description of Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions Case Study


To ensure that acquisitions generate value, what should the priorities of the new management team be? If it starts with rationalization (closing duplicate facilities, reducing the head count), it will make rapid progress on the cost side, but risk a demotivated work force. If it emphasizes acculturation (building relationships, fostering a common culture), it will have happy employees, but little cost savings. Doing both at the same time is no answer, either. Intensive analysis of three case studies suggests a model for the acquiring firm in deciding whether to pursue the "high road" by first emphasizing human integration before concentrating on operational synergies, or the "low road" of attending to cost savings initially and subsequently focusing on relationships. Evidence supports the case for a "high road" approach when the acquired firm's key assets are R&D and knowledge-intensive. A three-phase model--initial actions, follow-up, and second wave--is offered to help top management avoid the perils on either side of an optimal integration path. Specific examples are drawn from the experiences documented in the three case studies.


Case Authors : Julian Birkinshaw

Topic : Leadership & Managing People

Related Areas : Intellectual property, Managing people, Mergers & acquisitions, Strategic planning




Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions Case Study


Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10024655) -10024655 - -
Year 1 3446072 -6578583 3446072 0.9434 3251011
Year 2 3979502 -2599081 7425574 0.89 3541743
Year 3 3972394 1373313 11397968 0.8396 3335299
Year 4 3238897 4612210 14636865 0.7921 2565510
TOTAL 14636865 12693562




The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2668907

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting


What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.




Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting


There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Payback Period
2. Net Present Value
3. Profitability Index
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Intensive Road shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Intensive Road have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.






Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Leadership & Managing People Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Intensive Road often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Intensive Road needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.



Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10024655) -10024655 - -
Year 1 3446072 -6578583 3446072 0.8696 2996584
Year 2 3979502 -2599081 7425574 0.7561 3009075
Year 3 3972394 1373313 11397968 0.6575 2611914
Year 4 3238897 4612210 14636865 0.5718 1851850
TOTAL 10469423


The Net NPV after 4 years is 444768

(10469423 - 10024655 )








Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%


If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10024655) -10024655 - -
Year 1 3446072 -6578583 3446072 0.8333 2871727
Year 2 3979502 -2599081 7425574 0.6944 2763543
Year 3 3972394 1373313 11397968 0.5787 2298839
Year 4 3238897 4612210 14636865 0.4823 1561968
TOTAL 9496077


The Net NPV after 4 years is -528578

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9496077 - 10024655 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Intensive Road to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.





Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Intensive Road has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Intensive Road can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Intensive Road, then the stock price of the Intensive Road should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Intensive Road should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.






Negotiation Strategy of Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions

References & Further Readings

Julian Birkinshaw (2018), "Acquiring Intellect: Managing the Integration of Knowledge-Intensive Acquisitions Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.


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