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Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

Case Study SWOT Analysis Solution

Case Study Description of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version


To maximize their effectiveness, color cases should be printed in color.The Cosan case introduces students and executive education participants to political economy and business strategy in the biofuels industry. Cosan, based in Brazil, is the largest grower and processor of sugarcane in the world, and the largest sugar and ethanol producer in Brazil; it is also the world's largest exporter of ethanol for vehicle fuels. Rubens Ometto, Cosan's CEO, has staked out a leading position in the Brazilian ethanol and sugar industries by virtue of his efficiencies in agricultural production and in downstream logistics. He now needs to consider whether, and how aggressively, to expand abroad, either with production facilities or by exporting Brazilian output. He also needs to decide the appropriate vertical structure for the firm: whether he should be involved more extensively in agriculture, processing, distribution, or retail. The answers to these questions depend on his views of the future of the industry, and on the governmental institutions that will affect the distribution of value along the value chain.

Authors :: Forest Reinhardt, Noel Maurer, Ricardo Reisen de Pinho

Topics :: Global Business

Tags :: Government, International business, Sustainability, SWOT Analysis, SWOT Matrix, TOWS, Weighted SWOT Analysis

Swot Analysis of "Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version" written by Forest Reinhardt, Noel Maurer, Ricardo Reisen de Pinho includes – strengths weakness that are internal strategic factors of the organization, and opportunities and threats that Cosan Ethanol facing as an external strategic factors. Some of the topics covered in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version case study are - Strategic Management Strategies, Government, International business, Sustainability and Global Business.


Some of the macro environment factors that can be used to understand the Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version casestudy better are - – talent flight as more people leaving formal jobs, wage bills are increasing, geopolitical disruptions, challanges to central banks by blockchain based private currencies, increasing transportation and logistics costs, increasing commodity prices, technology disruption, central banks are concerned over increasing inflation, increasing government debt because of Covid-19 spendings, etc



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Introduction to SWOT Analysis of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version


SWOT stands for an organization’s Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats . At Oak Spring University , we believe that protagonist in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version case study can use SWOT analysis as a strategic management tool to assess the current internal strengths and weaknesses of the Cosan Ethanol, and to figure out the opportunities and threats in the macro environment – technological, environmental, political, economic, social, demographic, etc in which Cosan Ethanol operates in.

According to Harvard Business Review, 75% of the managers use SWOT analysis for various purposes such as – evaluating current scenario, strategic planning, new venture feasibility, personal growth goals, new market entry, Go To market strategies, portfolio management and strategic trade-off assessment, organizational restructuring, etc.




SWOT Objectives / Importance of SWOT Analysis and SWOT Matrix


SWOT analysis of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version can be done for the following purposes –
1. Strategic planning using facts provided in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version case study
2. Improving business portfolio management of Cosan Ethanol
3. Assessing feasibility of the new initiative in Global Business field.
4. Making a Global Business topic specific business decision
5. Set goals for the organization
6. Organizational restructuring of Cosan Ethanol




Strengths Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version | Internal Strategic Factors
What are Strengths in SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

The strengths of Cosan Ethanol in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version Harvard Business Review case study are -

Ability to lead change in Global Business field

– Cosan Ethanol is one of the leading players in its industry. Over the years it has not only transformed the business landscape in its segment but also across the whole industry. The ability to lead change has enabled Cosan Ethanol in – penetrating new markets, reaching out to new customers, and providing different value propositions to different customers in the international markets.

Innovation driven organization

– Cosan Ethanol is one of the most innovative firm in sector. Manager in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version Harvard Business Review case study can use Clayton Christensen Disruptive Innovation strategies to further increase the scale of innovtions in the organization.

Strong track record of project management

– Cosan Ethanol is known for sticking to its project targets. This enables the firm to manage – time, project costs, and have sustainable margins on the projects.

Sustainable margins compare to other players in Global Business industry

– Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version firm has clearly differentiated products in the market place. This has enabled Cosan Ethanol to fetch slight price premium compare to the competitors in the Global Business industry. The sustainable margins have also helped Cosan Ethanol to invest into research and development (R&D) and innovation.

High switching costs

– The high switching costs that Cosan Ethanol has built up over years in its products and services combo offer has resulted in high retention of customers, lower marketing costs, and greater ability of the firm to focus on its customers.

Successful track record of launching new products

– Cosan Ethanol has launched numerous new products in last few years, keeping in mind evolving customer preferences and competitive pressures. Cosan Ethanol has effective processes in place that helps in exploring new product needs, doing quick pilot testing, and then launching the products quickly using its extensive distribution network.

Diverse revenue streams

– Cosan Ethanol is present in almost all the verticals within the industry. This has provided firm in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version case study a diverse revenue stream that has helped it to survive disruptions such as global pandemic in Covid-19, financial disruption of 2008, and supply chain disruption of 2021.

Organizational Resilience of Cosan Ethanol

– The covid-19 pandemic has put organizational resilience at the centre of everthing that Cosan Ethanol does. Organizational resilience comprises - Financial Resilience, Operational Resilience, Technological Resilience, Organizational Resilience, Business Model Resilience, and Reputation Resilience.

Low bargaining power of suppliers

– Suppliers of Cosan Ethanol in the sector have low bargaining power. Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version has further diversified its suppliers portfolio by building a robust supply chain across various countries. This helps Cosan Ethanol to manage not only supply disruptions but also source products at highly competitive prices.

Analytics focus

– Cosan Ethanol is putting a lot of focus on utilizing the power of analytics in business decision making. This has put it among the leading players in the industry. The technology infrastructure suggested by Forest Reinhardt, Noel Maurer, Ricardo Reisen de Pinho can also help it to harness the power of analytics for – marketing optimization, demand forecasting, customer relationship management, inventory management, information sharing across the value chain etc.

Highly skilled collaborators

– Cosan Ethanol has highly efficient outsourcing and offshoring strategy. It has resulted in greater operational flexibility and bringing down the costs in highly price sensitive segment. Secondly the value chain collaborators of the firm in Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version HBR case study have helped the firm to develop new products and bring them quickly to the marketplace.

Operational resilience

– The operational resilience strategy in the Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version Harvard Business Review case study comprises – understanding the underlying the factors in the industry, building diversified operations across different geographies so that disruption in one part of the world doesn’t impact the overall performance of the firm, and integrating the various business operations and processes through its digital transformation drive.






Weaknesses Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version | Internal Strategic Factors
What are Weaknesses in SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

The weaknesses of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version are -

Interest costs

– Compare to the competition, Cosan Ethanol has borrowed money from the capital market at higher rates. It needs to restructure the interest payment and costs so that it can compete better and improve profitability.

Compensation and incentives

– The revenue per employee as mentioned in the HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version, is just above the industry average. Cosan Ethanol needs to redesign the compensation structure and incentives to increase the revenue per employees. Some of the steps that it can take are – hiring more specialists on project basis, etc.

Aligning sales with marketing

– It come across in the case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version that the firm needs to have more collaboration between its sales team and marketing team. Sales professionals in the industry have deep experience in developing customer relationships. Marketing department in the case Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version can leverage the sales team experience to cultivate customer relationships as Cosan Ethanol is planning to shift buying processes online.

Need for greater diversity

– Cosan Ethanol has taken concrete steps on diversity, equity, and inclusion. But the efforts so far has resulted in limited success. It needs to expand the recruitment and selection process to hire more people from the minorities and underprivileged background.

High cash cycle compare to competitors

Cosan Ethanol has a high cash cycle compare to other players in the industry. It needs to shorten the cash cycle by 12% to be more competitive in the marketplace, reduce inventory costs, and be more profitable.

Lack of clear differentiation of Cosan Ethanol products

– To increase the profitability and margins on the products, Cosan Ethanol needs to provide more differentiated products than what it is currently offering in the marketplace.

Products dominated business model

– Even though Cosan Ethanol has some of the most successful products in the industry, this business model has made each new product launch extremely critical for continuous financial growth of the organization. firm in the HBR case study - Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version should strive to include more intangible value offerings along with its core products and services.

High operating costs

– Compare to the competitors, firm in the HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version has high operating costs in the. This can be harder to sustain given the new emerging competition from nimble players who are using technology to attract Cosan Ethanol 's lucrative customers.

Skills based hiring

– The stress on hiring functional specialists at Cosan Ethanol has created an environment where the organization is dominated by functional specialists rather than management generalist. This has resulted into product oriented approach rather than marketing oriented approach or consumers oriented approach.

Employees’ incomplete understanding of strategy

– From the instances in the HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version, it seems that the employees of Cosan Ethanol don’t have comprehensive understanding of the firm’s strategy. This is reflected in number of promotional campaigns over the last few years that had mixed messaging and competing priorities. Some of the strategic activities and services promoted in the promotional campaigns were not consistent with the organization’s strategy.

Slow to strategic competitive environment developments

– As Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version HBR case study mentions - Cosan Ethanol takes time to assess the upcoming competitions. This has led to missing out on atleast 2-3 big opportunities in the industry in last five years.




Opportunities Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version | External Strategic Factors
What are Opportunities in the SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis


The opportunities highlighted in the Harvard Business Review case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version are -

Manufacturing automation

– Cosan Ethanol can use the latest technology developments to improve its manufacturing and designing process in Global Business segment. It can use CAD and 3D printing to build a quick prototype and pilot testing products. It can leverage automation using machine learning and artificial intelligence to do faster production at lowers costs, and it can leverage the growth in satellite and tracking technologies to improve inventory management, transportation, and shipping.

Better consumer reach

– The expansion of the 5G network will help Cosan Ethanol to increase its market reach. Cosan Ethanol will be able to reach out to new customers. Secondly 5G will also provide technology framework to build new tools and products that can help more immersive consumer experience and faster consumer journey.

Remote work and new talent hiring opportunities

– The widespread usage of remote working technologies during Covid-19 has opened opportunities for Cosan Ethanol to expand its talent hiring zone. According to McKinsey Global Institute, 20% of the high end workforce in fields such as finance, information technology, can continously work from remote local post Covid-19. This presents a really great opportunity for Cosan Ethanol to hire the very best people irrespective of their geographical location.

Harnessing reconfiguration of the global supply chains

– As the trade war between US and China heats up in the coming years, Cosan Ethanol can build a diversified supply chain model across various countries in - South East Asia, India, and other parts of the world. This reconfiguration of global supply chain can help, as suggested in case study, Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version, to buy more products closer to the markets, and it can leverage its size and influence to get better deal from the local markets.

Increase in government spending

– As the United States and other governments are increasing social spending and infrastructure spending to build economies post Covid-19, Cosan Ethanol can use these opportunities to build new business models that can help the communities that Cosan Ethanol operates in. Secondly it can use opportunities from government spending in Global Business sector.

Reforming the budgeting process

- By establishing new metrics that will be used to evaluate both existing and potential projects Cosan Ethanol can not only reduce the costs of the project but also help it in integrating the projects with other processes within the organization.

Leveraging digital technologies

– Cosan Ethanol can leverage digital technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning to automate the production process, customer analytics to get better insights into consumer behavior, realtime digital dashboards to get better sales tracking, logistics and transportation, product tracking, etc.

Lowering marketing communication costs

– 5G expansion will open new opportunities for Cosan Ethanol in the field of marketing communication. It will bring down the cost of doing business, provide technology platform to build new products in the Global Business segment, and it will provide faster access to the consumers.

Developing new processes and practices

– Cosan Ethanol can develop new processes and procedures in Global Business industry using technology such as automation using artificial intelligence, real time transportation and products tracking, 3D modeling for concept development and new products pilot testing etc.

Building a culture of innovation

– managers at Cosan Ethanol can make experimentation a productive activity and build a culture of innovation using approaches such as – mining transaction data, A/B testing of websites and selling platforms, engaging potential customers over various needs, and building on small ideas in the Global Business segment.

Redefining models of collaboration and team work

– As explained in the weaknesses section, Cosan Ethanol is facing challenges because of the dominance of functional experts in the organization. Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version case study suggests that firm can utilize new technology to build more coordinated teams and streamline operations and communications using tools such as CAD, Zoom, etc.

Changes in consumer behavior post Covid-19

– Consumer behavior has changed in the Global Business industry because of Covid-19 restrictions. Some of this behavior will stay once things get back to normal. Cosan Ethanol can take advantage of these changes in consumer behavior to build a far more efficient business model. For example consumer regular ordering of products can reduce both last mile delivery costs and market penetration costs. Cosan Ethanol can further use this consumer data to build better customer loyalty, provide better products and service collection, and improve the value proposition in inflationary times.

Low interest rates

– Even though inflation is raising its head in most developed economies, Cosan Ethanol can still utilize the low interest rates to borrow money for capital investment. Secondly it can also use the increase of government spending in infrastructure projects to get new business.




Threats Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version External Strategic Factors
What are Threats in the SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis


The threats mentioned in the HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version are -

Regulatory challenges

– Cosan Ethanol needs to prepare for regulatory challenges as consumer protection groups and other pressure groups are vigorously advocating for more regulations on big business - to reduce inequality, to create a level playing field, to product data privacy and consumer privacy, to reduce the influence of big money on democratic institutions, etc. This can lead to significant changes in the Global Business industry regulations.

Stagnating economy with rate increase

– Cosan Ethanol can face lack of demand in the market place because of Fed actions to reduce inflation. This can lead to sluggish growth in the economy, lower demands, lower investments, higher borrowing costs, and consolidation in the field.

Increasing international competition and downward pressure on margins

– Apart from technology driven competitive advantage dilution, Cosan Ethanol can face downward pressure on margins from increasing competition from international players. The international players have stable revenue in their home market and can use those resources to penetrate prominent markets illustrated in HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version .

Barriers of entry lowering

– As technology is more democratized, the barriers to entry in the industry are lowering. It can presents Cosan Ethanol with greater competitive threats in the near to medium future. Secondly it will also put downward pressure on pricing throughout the sector.

Learning curve for new practices

– As the technology based on artificial intelligence and machine learning platform is getting complex, as highlighted in case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version, Cosan Ethanol may face longer learning curve for training and development of existing employees. This can open space for more nimble competitors in the field of Global Business .

Shortening product life cycle

– it is one of the major threat that Cosan Ethanol is facing in Global Business sector. It can lead to higher research and development costs, higher marketing expenses, lower customer loyalty, etc.

Increasing wage structure of Cosan Ethanol

– Post Covid-19 there is a sharp increase in the wages especially in the jobs that require interaction with people. The increasing wages can put downward pressure on the margins of Cosan Ethanol.

Capital market disruption

– During the Covid-19, Dow Jones has touched record high. The valuations of a number of companies are way beyond their existing business model potential. This can lead to capital market correction which can put a number of suppliers, collaborators, value chain partners in great financial difficulty. It will directly impact the business of Cosan Ethanol.

New competition

– After the dotcom bust of 2001, financial crisis of 2008-09, the business formation in US economy had declined. But in 2020 alone, there are more than 1.5 million new business applications in United States. This can lead to greater competition for Cosan Ethanol in the Global Business sector and impact the bottomline of the organization.

Technology disruption because of hacks, piracy etc

– The colonial pipeline illustrated, how vulnerable modern organization are to international hackers, miscreants, and disruptors. The cyber security interruption, data leaks, etc can seriously jeopardize the future growth of the organization.

Environmental challenges

– Cosan Ethanol needs to have a robust strategy against the disruptions arising from climate change and energy requirements. EU has identified it as key priority area and spending 30% of its 880 billion Euros European post Covid-19 recovery funds on green technology. Cosan Ethanol can take advantage of this fund but it will also bring new competitors in the Global Business industry.

Technology acceleration in Forth Industrial Revolution

– Cosan Ethanol has witnessed rapid integration of technology during Covid-19 in the Global Business industry. As one of the leading players in the industry, Cosan Ethanol needs to keep up with the evolution of technology in the Global Business sector. According to Mckinsey study top managers believe that the adoption of technology in operations, communications is 20-25 times faster than what they planned in the beginning of 2019.

High level of anxiety and lack of motivation

– the Great Resignation in United States is the sign of broader dissatisfaction among the workforce in United States. Cosan Ethanol needs to understand the core reasons impacting the Global Business industry. This will help it in building a better workplace.




Weighted SWOT Analysis of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version Template, Example


Not all factors mentioned under the Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities, and Threats quadrants in the SWOT Analysis are equal. Managers in the HBR case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version needs to zero down on the relative importance of each factor mentioned in the Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities, and Threats quadrants. We can provide the relative importance to each factor by assigning relative weights. Weighted SWOT analysis process is a three stage process –

First stage for doing weighted SWOT analysis of the case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version is to rank the strengths and weaknesses of the organization. This will help you to assess the most important strengths and weaknesses of the firm and which one of the strengths and weaknesses mentioned in the initial lists are marginal and can be left out.

Second stage for conducting weighted SWOT analysis of the Harvard case study Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version is to give probabilities to the external strategic factors thus better understanding the opportunities and threats arising out of macro environment changes and developments.

Third stage of constructing weighted SWOT analysis of Cosan: Thinking Outside the Barrel, Chinese Version is to provide strategic recommendations includes – joining likelihood of external strategic factors such as opportunities and threats to the internal strategic factors – strengths and weaknesses. You should start with external factors as they will provide the direction of the overall industry. Secondly by joining probabilities with internal strategic factors can help the company not only strategic fit but also the most probably strategic trade-off that Cosan Ethanol needs to make to build a sustainable competitive advantage.



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