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HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website case study


At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Apurva Chamaria, Gaurav Kakkar, Srividya Raghavan. The HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website (referred as “Hcl Website” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Sales & Marketing. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Marketing.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment




Case Description of HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website Case Study


In 2014, India's HCL Technologies emerged as one of just eight 21st-century listed technology companies in the world to surpass US$1 billion in net profits, $5 billion in revenue, and $15 billion in market capitalization. When most companies were using their websites as online information pages, HCL Technologies converted its legacy website into an effective lead-generation vehicle. Within one year of implementation, the website began generating a lead funnel worth $1 billion. HCL Technologies used its updated website to implement various strategies to ensure effective lead generation, revenue generation, and site-traffic generation. Over time, the website evolved into a driver for thought leadership for the business and its customers. Apurva Chamaria is affiliated with HCL Technologies.


Case Authors : Apurva Chamaria, Gaurav Kakkar, Srividya Raghavan

Topic : Sales & Marketing

Related Areas : Marketing




Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website Case Study


Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 6 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10015339) -10015339 - -
Year 1 3462716 -6552623 3462716 0.9434 3266713
Year 2 3969561 -2583062 7432277 0.89 3532895
Year 3 3964226 1381164 11396503 0.8396 3328441
Year 4 3235045 4616209 14631548 0.7921 2562459
TOTAL 14631548 12690508


The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2675169

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting


What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.




Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting


There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Internal Rate of Return
3. Payback Period
4. Profitability Index

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Hcl Website have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Hcl Website shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.




Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Sales & Marketing Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Hcl Website often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Hcl Website needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 15 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10015339) -10015339 - -
Year 1 3462716 -6552623 3462716 0.8696 3011057
Year 2 3969561 -2583062 7432277 0.7561 3001558
Year 3 3964226 1381164 11396503 0.6575 2606543
Year 4 3235045 4616209 14631548 0.5718 1849647
TOTAL 10468806


The Net NPV after 4 years is 453467

(10468806 - 10015339 )






Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%


If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years              Cash Flow     Net Cash Flow     Cumulative    
Cash Flow
Discount Rate
@ 20 %
Discounted
Cash Flows
Year 0 (10015339) -10015339 - -
Year 1 3462716 -6552623 3462716 0.8333 2885597
Year 2 3969561 -2583062 7432277 0.6944 2756640
Year 3 3964226 1381164 11396503 0.5787 2294112
Year 4 3235045 4616209 14631548 0.4823 1560110
TOTAL 9496459


The Net NPV after 4 years is -518880

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9496459 - 10015339 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Hcl Website to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.



Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Hcl Website has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Hcl Website can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Hcl Website, then the stock price of the Hcl Website should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Hcl Website should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.




References & Further Readings

Apurva Chamaria, Gaurav Kakkar, Srividya Raghavan (2018), "HCL Technologies: Pushing the Billion-Dollar Website Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.