Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Frederic Godart, Brian Henry, Antoine Tirard, Claire Harbour-Lyell. The Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry (referred as “Luxury Career” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Leadership & Managing People. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Coaching, Emotional intelligence, Human resource management, Leadership.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry Case Study

The case follows the career path of Megha Malagatti, from her humble Indian origins as a member of the Dalit caste (known as "untouchables") to a senior management position in a French luxury goods company - an improbable journey that speaks to her personal strengths, skills and qualifications, as well as the possibilities open to young women to make a career in the luxury goods industry irrespective of their background. It opens a window on gender diversity in the executive suite, highlighting the company culture of S.T.Dupont and the CEO who mentored her.

Case Authors : Frederic Godart, Brian Henry, Antoine Tirard, Claire Harbour-Lyell

Topic : Leadership & Managing People

Related Areas : Coaching, Emotional intelligence, Human resource management, Leadership

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10022863)	-10022863	-	-
Year 1	3451390	-6571473	3451390	0.9434	3256028
Year 2	3959049	-2612424	7410439	0.89	3523540
Year 3	3951636	1339212	11362075	0.8396	3317870
Year 4	3226438	4565650	14588513	0.7921	2555641
TOTAL			14588513		12653079

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2630216

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Payback Period
3. Profitability Index
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Luxury Career shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Luxury Career have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Leadership & Managing People Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Luxury Career often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Luxury Career needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10022863)	-10022863	-	-
Year 1	3451390	-6571473	3451390	0.8696	3001209
Year 2	3959049	-2612424	7410439	0.7561	2993610
Year 3	3951636	1339212	11362075	0.6575	2598265
Year 4	3226438	4565650	14588513	0.5718	1844726
TOTAL					10437810

The Net NPV after 4 years is 414947

(10437810 - 10022863 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10022863)	-10022863	-	-
Year 1	3451390	-6571473	3451390	0.8333	2876158
Year 2	3959049	-2612424	7410439	0.6944	2749340
Year 3	3951636	1339212	11362075	0.5787	2286826
Year 4	3226438	4565650	14588513	0.4823	1555960
TOTAL					9468284

The Net NPV after 4 years is -554579

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9468284 - 10022863 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Luxury Career to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Luxury Career has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Luxury Career can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Luxury Career, then the stock price of the Luxury Career should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Luxury Career should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry

References & Further Readings

Frederic Godart, Brian Henry, Antoine Tirard, Claire Harbour-Lyell (2018), "Developing a (Second) Career and Leadership Skills in the Global Luxury Industry Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.