Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Paul W. Marshall, Carole Carlson. The Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business (referred as “Relax Massage” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Innovation & Entrepreneurship. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Growth strategy, Mergers & acquisitions, Organizational structure, Supply chain.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business Case Study

The Relax case traces the history of a massage services company from its founding in 2007 to mid-2017, when it is considering the best strategy for growth and an acquisition. The company's owner and top managers wonder how the firm should reorganize to cope with the challenges posed by the company's transformation from a small, independent operation to a professionally managed enterprise. This case illustrates the challenges of preparing for rapid growth. It covers issues of internal management and organization, as well as brand management decisions. Relax can be used in an entrepreneurial management or small business course. Because of the emphasis the company places on its brand, it may also be applicable for some marketing or brand management classes.

Case Authors : Paul W. Marshall, Carole Carlson

Topic : Innovation & Entrepreneurship

Related Areas : Growth strategy, Mergers & acquisitions, Organizational structure, Supply chain

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10027572)	-10027572	-	-
Year 1	3451568	-6576004	3451568	0.9434	3256196
Year 2	3963734	-2612270	7415302	0.89	3527709
Year 3	3952766	1340496	11368068	0.8396	3318819
Year 4	3246440	4586936	14614508	0.7921	2571485
TOTAL			14614508		12674208

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2646636

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Net Present Value
2. Profitability Index
3. Payback Period
4. Internal Rate of Return

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Relax Massage have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.
2. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Relax Massage shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Innovation & Entrepreneurship Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Relax Massage often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Relax Massage needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10027572)	-10027572	-	-
Year 1	3451568	-6576004	3451568	0.8696	3001363
Year 2	3963734	-2612270	7415302	0.7561	2997152
Year 3	3952766	1340496	11368068	0.6575	2599008
Year 4	3246440	4586936	14614508	0.5718	1856163
TOTAL					10453686

The Net NPV after 4 years is 426114

(10453686 - 10027572 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10027572)	-10027572	-	-
Year 1	3451568	-6576004	3451568	0.8333	2876307
Year 2	3963734	-2612270	7415302	0.6944	2752593
Year 3	3952766	1340496	11368068	0.5787	2287480
Year 4	3246440	4586936	14614508	0.4823	1565606
TOTAL					9481986

The Net NPV after 4 years is -545586

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9481986 - 10027572 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Relax Massage to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Relax Massage has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Relax Massage can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Relax Massage, then the stock price of the Relax Massage should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Relax Massage should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business

References & Further Readings

Paul W. Marshall, Carole Carlson (2018), "Relax (Boston): Innovating and Growing an Entrepreneurial Business Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.