MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry Net Present Value (NPV) / MBA Resources

Introduction to Net Present Value (NPV) - What is Net Present Value (NPV) ? How it impacts financial decisions regarding project management?

NPV solution for MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry case study

At Oak Spring University, we provide corporate level professional Net Present Value (NPV) case study solution. MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry case study is a Harvard Business School (HBR) case study written by Carlos Cordon, Donald A. Marchand, Atul Pahwa. The MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry (referred as “Mas Apparel” from here on) case study provides evaluation & decision scenario in field of Global Business. It also touches upon business topics such as - Value proposition, Joint ventures, Manufacturing, Mergers & acquisitions, Product development.

The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is the present value of the proposal’s net cash flows less the proposal’s initial cash outflow. If a project’s NPV is greater than or equal to zero, the project should be accepted.

NPV = Present Value of Future Cash Flows LESS Project’s Initial Investment

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Case Description of MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry Case Study

MAS is an apparel supplier to the world's leading brands. Beginning January 2005, a quota-free international textile trade regime will replace country-specific textile quotas for goods entering WTO member states. Small apparel manufacturers are not expected to survive - Chinese firms could corner as much as 50% of the worldwide market. The case looks at how MAS should be organized to best meet customer demands in a rapidly changing, fashion-driven industry where both speed and flexibility in operations are critical to success. How vertically integrated should MAS become? Should it invest in building a retail brand? Or should it go downstream and bring raw material suppliers in-house? Or instead focus on configuring its supply chain to optimize its existing business processes? How should MAS manage and deploy its IT systems to improve knowledge sharing and information management capabilities across the organization, and perhaps strive for a competitive edge?

Case Authors : Carlos Cordon, Donald A. Marchand, Atul Pahwa

Topic : Global Business

Related Areas : Joint ventures, Manufacturing, Mergers & acquisitions, Product development

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 6% for MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry Case Study

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 6 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10029290)	-10029290	-	-
Year 1	3465860	-6563430	3465860	0.9434	3269679
Year 2	3980433	-2582997	7446293	0.89	3542571
Year 3	3972898	1389901	11419191	0.8396	3335722
Year 4	3222774	4612675	14641965	0.7921	2552739
TOTAL			14641965		12700711

The Net Present Value at 6% discount rate is 2671421

In isolation the NPV number doesn't mean much but put in right context then it is one of the best method to evaluate project returns. In this article we will cover -

Different methods of capital budgeting

What is NPV & Formula of NPV,
How it is calculated,
How to use NPV number for project evaluation, and
Scenario Planning given risks and management priorities.

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Capital Budgeting Approaches

Methods of Capital Budgeting

There are four types of capital budgeting techniques that are widely used in the corporate world –

1. Payback Period
2. Profitability Index
3. Internal Rate of Return
4. Net Present Value

Apart from the Payback period method which is an additive method, rest of the methods are based on Discounted Cash Flow technique. Even though cash flow can be calculated based on the nature of the project, for the simplicity of the article we are assuming that all the expected cash flows are realized at the end of the year.

Discounted Cash Flow approaches provide a more objective basis for evaluating and selecting investment projects. They take into consideration both –

1. Magnitude of both incoming and outgoing cash flows – Projects can be capital intensive, time intensive, or both. Mas Apparel shareholders have preference for diversified projects investment rather than prospective high income from a single capital intensive project.
2. Timing of the expected cash flows – stockholders of Mas Apparel have higher preference for cash returns over 4-5 years rather than 10-15 years given the nature of the volatility in the industry.

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Formula and Steps to Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry

NPV = Net Cash In Flowt1 / (1+r)t1 + Net Cash In Flowt2 / (1+r)t2 + … Net Cash In Flowtn / (1+r)tn
Less Net Cash Out Flowt0 / (1+r)t0

Where t = time period, in this case year 1, year 2 and so on.
r = discount rate or return that could be earned using other safe proposition such as fixed deposit or treasury bond rate. Net Cash In Flow – What the firm will get each year.
Net Cash Out Flow – What the firm needs to invest initially in the project.

Step 1 – Understand the nature of the project and calculate cash flow for each year.
Step 2 – Discount those cash flow based on the discount rate.
Step 3 – Add all the discounted cash flow.
Step 4 – Selection of the project

Why Global Business Managers need to know Financial Tools such as Net Present Value (NPV)?

In our daily workplace we often come across people and colleagues who are just focused on their core competency and targets they have to deliver. For example marketing managers at Mas Apparel often design programs whose objective is to drive brand awareness and customer reach. But how that 30 point increase in brand awareness or 10 point increase in customer touch points will result into shareholders’ value is not specified.

To overcome such scenarios managers at Mas Apparel needs to not only know the financial aspect of project management but also needs to have tools to integrate them into part of the project development and monitoring plan.

Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 15%

After working through various assumptions we reached a conclusion that risk is far higher than 6%. In a reasonably stable industry with weak competition - 15% discount rate can be a good benchmark.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 15 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10029290)	-10029290	-	-
Year 1	3465860	-6563430	3465860	0.8696	3013791
Year 2	3980433	-2582997	7446293	0.7561	3009779
Year 3	3972898	1389901	11419191	0.6575	2612245
Year 4	3222774	4612675	14641965	0.5718	1842631
TOTAL					10478447

The Net NPV after 4 years is 449157

(10478447 - 10029290 )

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Calculating Net Present Value (NPV) at 20%

If the risk component is high in the industry then we should go for a higher hurdle rate / discount rate of 20%.

Years	Cash Flow	Net Cash Flow	Cumulative     Cash Flow	Discount Rate @ 20 %	Discounted Cash Flows
Year 0	(10029290)	-10029290	-	-
Year 1	3465860	-6563430	3465860	0.8333	2888217
Year 2	3980433	-2582997	7446293	0.6944	2764190
Year 3	3972898	1389901	11419191	0.5787	2299131
Year 4	3222774	4612675	14641965	0.4823	1554193
TOTAL					9505730

The Net NPV after 4 years is -523560

At 20% discount rate the NPV is negative (9505730 - 10029290 ) so ideally we can't select the project if macro and micro factors don't allow financial managers of Mas Apparel to discount cash flow at lower discount rates such as 15%.

Acceptance Criteria of a Project based on NPV

Simplest Approach – If the investment project of Mas Apparel has a NPV value higher than Zero then finance managers at Mas Apparel can ACCEPT the project, otherwise they can reject the project. This means that project will deliver higher returns over the period of time than any alternate investment strategy.

In theory if the required rate of return or discount rate is chosen correctly by finance managers at Mas Apparel, then the stock price of the Mas Apparel should change by same amount of the NPV. In real world we know that share price also reflects various other factors that can be related to both macro and micro environment.

In the same vein – accepting the project with zero NPV should result in stagnant share price. Finance managers use discount rates as a measure of risk components in the project execution process.

Sensitivity Analysis

Project selection is often a far more complex decision than just choosing it based on the NPV number. Finance managers at Mas Apparel should conduct a sensitivity analysis to better understand not only the inherent risk of the projects but also how those risks can be either factored in or mitigated during the project execution. Sensitivity analysis helps in –

What can impact the cash flow of the project.

What are the uncertainties surrounding the project Initial Cash Outlay (ICO’s). ICO’s often have several different components such as land, machinery, building, and other equipment.

What are the key aspects of the projects that need to be monitored, refined, and retuned for continuous delivery of projected cash flows.

What will be a multi year spillover effect of various taxation regulations.

Understanding of risks involved in the project.

Some of the assumptions while using the Discounted Cash Flow Methods –

Projects are assumed to be Mutually Exclusive – This is seldom the came in modern day giant organizations where projects are often inter-related and rejecting a project solely based on NPV can result in sunk cost from a related project.

Independent projects have independent cash flows – As explained in the marketing project – though the project may look independent but in reality it is not as the brand awareness project can be closely associated with the spending on sales promotions and product specific advertising.

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Negotiation Strategy of MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry

References & Further Readings

Carlos Cordon, Donald A. Marchand, Atul Pahwa (2018), "MAS Holdings: Providing Design to Delivery Solutions to the Global Apparel Industry Harvard Business Review Case Study. Published by HBR Publications.