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The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

Case Study SWOT Analysis Solution

Case Study Description of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery


The case examines the impact of variability in demand and the supply chain on the operations of an oil refinery. The impact of external financial metrics by other stakeholders in the refinery is discussed, and policy measures for the improvement of the operations of the oil refinery are proposed.

Authors :: Shantanu Bhattacharya, Sameer Hasija

Topics :: Leadership & Managing People

Tags :: Supply chain, SWOT Analysis, SWOT Matrix, TOWS, Weighted SWOT Analysis

Swot Analysis of "The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery" written by Shantanu Bhattacharya, Sameer Hasija includes – strengths weakness that are internal strategic factors of the organization, and opportunities and threats that Refinery Oil facing as an external strategic factors. Some of the topics covered in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study are - Strategic Management Strategies, Supply chain and Leadership & Managing People.


Some of the macro environment factors that can be used to understand the The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery casestudy better are - – increasing transportation and logistics costs, cloud computing is disrupting traditional business models, supply chains are disrupted by pandemic , increasing energy prices, central banks are concerned over increasing inflation, customer relationship management is fast transforming because of increasing concerns over data privacy, increasing commodity prices, challanges to central banks by blockchain based private currencies, banking and financial system is disrupted by Bitcoin and other crypto currencies, etc



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Introduction to SWOT Analysis of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery


SWOT stands for an organization’s Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats . At Oak Spring University , we believe that protagonist in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study can use SWOT analysis as a strategic management tool to assess the current internal strengths and weaknesses of the Refinery Oil, and to figure out the opportunities and threats in the macro environment – technological, environmental, political, economic, social, demographic, etc in which Refinery Oil operates in.

According to Harvard Business Review, 75% of the managers use SWOT analysis for various purposes such as – evaluating current scenario, strategic planning, new venture feasibility, personal growth goals, new market entry, Go To market strategies, portfolio management and strategic trade-off assessment, organizational restructuring, etc.




SWOT Objectives / Importance of SWOT Analysis and SWOT Matrix


SWOT analysis of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery can be done for the following purposes –
1. Strategic planning using facts provided in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study
2. Improving business portfolio management of Refinery Oil
3. Assessing feasibility of the new initiative in Leadership & Managing People field.
4. Making a Leadership & Managing People topic specific business decision
5. Set goals for the organization
6. Organizational restructuring of Refinery Oil




Strengths The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery | Internal Strategic Factors
What are Strengths in SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

The strengths of Refinery Oil in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery Harvard Business Review case study are -

Operational resilience

– The operational resilience strategy in the The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery Harvard Business Review case study comprises – understanding the underlying the factors in the industry, building diversified operations across different geographies so that disruption in one part of the world doesn’t impact the overall performance of the firm, and integrating the various business operations and processes through its digital transformation drive.

Diverse revenue streams

– Refinery Oil is present in almost all the verticals within the industry. This has provided firm in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study a diverse revenue stream that has helped it to survive disruptions such as global pandemic in Covid-19, financial disruption of 2008, and supply chain disruption of 2021.

Digital Transformation in Leadership & Managing People segment

- digital transformation varies from industry to industry. For Refinery Oil digital transformation journey comprises differing goals based on market maturity, customer technology acceptance, and organizational culture. Refinery Oil has successfully integrated the four key components of digital transformation – digital integration in processes, digital integration in marketing and customer relationship management, digital integration into the value chain, and using technology to explore new products and market opportunities.

Cross disciplinary teams

– Horizontal connected teams at the Refinery Oil are driving operational speed, building greater agility, and keeping the organization nimble to compete with new competitors. It helps are organization to ideate new ideas, and execute them swiftly in the marketplace.

Low bargaining power of suppliers

– Suppliers of Refinery Oil in the sector have low bargaining power. The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery has further diversified its suppliers portfolio by building a robust supply chain across various countries. This helps Refinery Oil to manage not only supply disruptions but also source products at highly competitive prices.

Ability to recruit top talent

– Refinery Oil is one of the leading recruiters in the industry. Managers in the The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery are in a position to attract the best talent available. The firm has a robust talent identification program that helps in identifying the brightest.

Sustainable margins compare to other players in Leadership & Managing People industry

– The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery firm has clearly differentiated products in the market place. This has enabled Refinery Oil to fetch slight price premium compare to the competitors in the Leadership & Managing People industry. The sustainable margins have also helped Refinery Oil to invest into research and development (R&D) and innovation.

Learning organization

- Refinery Oil is a learning organization. It has inculcated three key characters of learning organization in its processes and operations – exploration, creativity, and expansiveness. The work place at Refinery Oil is open place that encourages instructiveness, ideation, open minded discussions, and creativity. Employees and leaders in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery Harvard Business Review case study emphasize – knowledge, initiative, and innovation.

High switching costs

– The high switching costs that Refinery Oil has built up over years in its products and services combo offer has resulted in high retention of customers, lower marketing costs, and greater ability of the firm to focus on its customers.

Strong track record of project management

– Refinery Oil is known for sticking to its project targets. This enables the firm to manage – time, project costs, and have sustainable margins on the projects.

Innovation driven organization

– Refinery Oil is one of the most innovative firm in sector. Manager in The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery Harvard Business Review case study can use Clayton Christensen Disruptive Innovation strategies to further increase the scale of innovtions in the organization.

Ability to lead change in Leadership & Managing People field

– Refinery Oil is one of the leading players in its industry. Over the years it has not only transformed the business landscape in its segment but also across the whole industry. The ability to lead change has enabled Refinery Oil in – penetrating new markets, reaching out to new customers, and providing different value propositions to different customers in the international markets.






Weaknesses The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery | Internal Strategic Factors
What are Weaknesses in SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis

The weaknesses of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery are -

Skills based hiring

– The stress on hiring functional specialists at Refinery Oil has created an environment where the organization is dominated by functional specialists rather than management generalist. This has resulted into product oriented approach rather than marketing oriented approach or consumers oriented approach.

Lack of clear differentiation of Refinery Oil products

– To increase the profitability and margins on the products, Refinery Oil needs to provide more differentiated products than what it is currently offering in the marketplace.

High bargaining power of channel partners

– Because of the regulatory requirements, Shantanu Bhattacharya, Sameer Hasija suggests that, Refinery Oil is facing high bargaining power of the channel partners. So far it has not able to streamline the operations to reduce the bargaining power of the value chain partners in the industry.

Employees’ incomplete understanding of strategy

– From the instances in the HBR case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery, it seems that the employees of Refinery Oil don’t have comprehensive understanding of the firm’s strategy. This is reflected in number of promotional campaigns over the last few years that had mixed messaging and competing priorities. Some of the strategic activities and services promoted in the promotional campaigns were not consistent with the organization’s strategy.

Slow decision making process

– As mentioned earlier in the report, Refinery Oil has a very deliberative decision making approach. This approach has resulted in prudent decisions, but it has also resulted in missing opportunities in the industry over the last five years. Refinery Oil even though has strong showing on digital transformation primary two stages, it has struggled to capitalize the power of digital transformation in marketing efforts and new venture efforts.

High operating costs

– Compare to the competitors, firm in the HBR case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery has high operating costs in the. This can be harder to sustain given the new emerging competition from nimble players who are using technology to attract Refinery Oil 's lucrative customers.

Compensation and incentives

– The revenue per employee as mentioned in the HBR case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery, is just above the industry average. Refinery Oil needs to redesign the compensation structure and incentives to increase the revenue per employees. Some of the steps that it can take are – hiring more specialists on project basis, etc.

Products dominated business model

– Even though Refinery Oil has some of the most successful products in the industry, this business model has made each new product launch extremely critical for continuous financial growth of the organization. firm in the HBR case study - The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery should strive to include more intangible value offerings along with its core products and services.

Need for greater diversity

– Refinery Oil has taken concrete steps on diversity, equity, and inclusion. But the efforts so far has resulted in limited success. It needs to expand the recruitment and selection process to hire more people from the minorities and underprivileged background.

High cash cycle compare to competitors

Refinery Oil has a high cash cycle compare to other players in the industry. It needs to shorten the cash cycle by 12% to be more competitive in the marketplace, reduce inventory costs, and be more profitable.

Ability to respond to the competition

– As the decision making is very deliberative, highlighted in the case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery, in the dynamic environment Refinery Oil has struggled to respond to the nimble upstart competition. Refinery Oil has reasonably good record with similar level competitors but it has struggled with new entrants taking away niches of its business.




Opportunities The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery | External Strategic Factors
What are Opportunities in the SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis


The opportunities highlighted in the Harvard Business Review case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery are -

Increase in government spending

– As the United States and other governments are increasing social spending and infrastructure spending to build economies post Covid-19, Refinery Oil can use these opportunities to build new business models that can help the communities that Refinery Oil operates in. Secondly it can use opportunities from government spending in Leadership & Managing People sector.

Use of Bitcoin and other crypto currencies for transactions

– The popularity of Bitcoin and other crypto currencies as asset class and medium of transaction has opened new opportunities for Refinery Oil in the consumer business. Now Refinery Oil can target international markets with far fewer capital restrictions requirements than the existing system.

Better consumer reach

– The expansion of the 5G network will help Refinery Oil to increase its market reach. Refinery Oil will be able to reach out to new customers. Secondly 5G will also provide technology framework to build new tools and products that can help more immersive consumer experience and faster consumer journey.

Reconfiguring business model

– The expansion of digital payment system, the bringing down of international transactions costs using Bitcoin and other blockchain based currencies, etc can help Refinery Oil to reconfigure its entire business model. For example it can used blockchain based technologies to reduce piracy of its products in the big markets such as China. Secondly it can use the popularity of e-commerce in various developing markets to build a Direct to Customer business model rather than the current Channel Heavy distribution network.

Low interest rates

– Even though inflation is raising its head in most developed economies, Refinery Oil can still utilize the low interest rates to borrow money for capital investment. Secondly it can also use the increase of government spending in infrastructure projects to get new business.

Creating value in data economy

– The success of analytics program of Refinery Oil has opened avenues for new revenue streams for the organization in the industry. This can help Refinery Oil to build a more holistic ecosystem as suggested in the The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study. Refinery Oil can build new products and services such as - data insight services, data privacy related products, data based consulting services, etc.

Lowering marketing communication costs

– 5G expansion will open new opportunities for Refinery Oil in the field of marketing communication. It will bring down the cost of doing business, provide technology platform to build new products in the Leadership & Managing People segment, and it will provide faster access to the consumers.

Using analytics as competitive advantage

– Refinery Oil has spent a significant amount of money and effort to integrate analytics and machine learning into its operations in the sector. This continuous investment in analytics has enabled, as illustrated in the Harvard case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery - to build a competitive advantage using analytics. The analytics driven competitive advantage can help Refinery Oil to build faster Go To Market strategies, better consumer insights, developing relevant product features, and building a highly efficient supply chain.

Identify volunteer opportunities

– Covid-19 has impacted working population in two ways – it has led to people soul searching about their professional choices, resulting in mass resignation. Secondly it has encouraged people to do things that they are passionate about. This has opened opportunities for businesses to build volunteer oriented socially driven projects. Refinery Oil can explore opportunities that can attract volunteers and are consistent with its mission and vision.

Redefining models of collaboration and team work

– As explained in the weaknesses section, Refinery Oil is facing challenges because of the dominance of functional experts in the organization. The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery case study suggests that firm can utilize new technology to build more coordinated teams and streamline operations and communications using tools such as CAD, Zoom, etc.

Manufacturing automation

– Refinery Oil can use the latest technology developments to improve its manufacturing and designing process in Leadership & Managing People segment. It can use CAD and 3D printing to build a quick prototype and pilot testing products. It can leverage automation using machine learning and artificial intelligence to do faster production at lowers costs, and it can leverage the growth in satellite and tracking technologies to improve inventory management, transportation, and shipping.

Finding new ways to collaborate

– Covid-19 has not only transformed business models of companies in Leadership & Managing People industry, but it has also influenced the consumer preferences. Refinery Oil can tie-up with other value chain partners to explore new opportunities regarding meeting customer demands and building a rewarding and engaging relationship.

Harnessing reconfiguration of the global supply chains

– As the trade war between US and China heats up in the coming years, Refinery Oil can build a diversified supply chain model across various countries in - South East Asia, India, and other parts of the world. This reconfiguration of global supply chain can help, as suggested in case study, The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery, to buy more products closer to the markets, and it can leverage its size and influence to get better deal from the local markets.




Threats The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery External Strategic Factors
What are Threats in the SWOT Analysis / TOWS Matrix / Weighted SWOT Analysis


The threats mentioned in the HBR case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery are -

High dependence on third party suppliers

– Refinery Oil high dependence on third party suppliers can disrupt its processes and delivery mechanism. For example -the current troubles of car makers because of chip shortage is because the chip companies started producing chips for electronic companies rather than car manufacturers.

Environmental challenges

– Refinery Oil needs to have a robust strategy against the disruptions arising from climate change and energy requirements. EU has identified it as key priority area and spending 30% of its 880 billion Euros European post Covid-19 recovery funds on green technology. Refinery Oil can take advantage of this fund but it will also bring new competitors in the Leadership & Managing People industry.

Instability in the European markets

– European Union markets are facing three big challenges post Covid – expanded balance sheets, Brexit related business disruption, and aggressive Russia looking to distract the existing security mechanism. Refinery Oil will face different problems in different parts of Europe. For example it will face inflationary pressures in UK, France, and Germany, balance sheet expansion and demand challenges in Southern European countries, and geopolitical instability in the Eastern Europe.

Technology disruption because of hacks, piracy etc

– The colonial pipeline illustrated, how vulnerable modern organization are to international hackers, miscreants, and disruptors. The cyber security interruption, data leaks, etc can seriously jeopardize the future growth of the organization.

Easy access to finance

– Easy access to finance in Leadership & Managing People field will also reduce the barriers to entry in the industry, thus putting downward pressure on the prices because of increasing competition. Refinery Oil can utilize it by borrowing at lower rates and invest it into research and development, capital expenditure to fortify its core competitive advantage.

Shortening product life cycle

– it is one of the major threat that Refinery Oil is facing in Leadership & Managing People sector. It can lead to higher research and development costs, higher marketing expenses, lower customer loyalty, etc.

Stagnating economy with rate increase

– Refinery Oil can face lack of demand in the market place because of Fed actions to reduce inflation. This can lead to sluggish growth in the economy, lower demands, lower investments, higher borrowing costs, and consolidation in the field.

New competition

– After the dotcom bust of 2001, financial crisis of 2008-09, the business formation in US economy had declined. But in 2020 alone, there are more than 1.5 million new business applications in United States. This can lead to greater competition for Refinery Oil in the Leadership & Managing People sector and impact the bottomline of the organization.

Learning curve for new practices

– As the technology based on artificial intelligence and machine learning platform is getting complex, as highlighted in case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery, Refinery Oil may face longer learning curve for training and development of existing employees. This can open space for more nimble competitors in the field of Leadership & Managing People .

Regulatory challenges

– Refinery Oil needs to prepare for regulatory challenges as consumer protection groups and other pressure groups are vigorously advocating for more regulations on big business - to reduce inequality, to create a level playing field, to product data privacy and consumer privacy, to reduce the influence of big money on democratic institutions, etc. This can lead to significant changes in the Leadership & Managing People industry regulations.

Increasing wage structure of Refinery Oil

– Post Covid-19 there is a sharp increase in the wages especially in the jobs that require interaction with people. The increasing wages can put downward pressure on the margins of Refinery Oil.

High level of anxiety and lack of motivation

– the Great Resignation in United States is the sign of broader dissatisfaction among the workforce in United States. Refinery Oil needs to understand the core reasons impacting the Leadership & Managing People industry. This will help it in building a better workplace.

Barriers of entry lowering

– As technology is more democratized, the barriers to entry in the industry are lowering. It can presents Refinery Oil with greater competitive threats in the near to medium future. Secondly it will also put downward pressure on pricing throughout the sector.




Weighted SWOT Analysis of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery Template, Example


Not all factors mentioned under the Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities, and Threats quadrants in the SWOT Analysis are equal. Managers in the HBR case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery needs to zero down on the relative importance of each factor mentioned in the Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities, and Threats quadrants. We can provide the relative importance to each factor by assigning relative weights. Weighted SWOT analysis process is a three stage process –

First stage for doing weighted SWOT analysis of the case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery is to rank the strengths and weaknesses of the organization. This will help you to assess the most important strengths and weaknesses of the firm and which one of the strengths and weaknesses mentioned in the initial lists are marginal and can be left out.

Second stage for conducting weighted SWOT analysis of the Harvard case study The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery is to give probabilities to the external strategic factors thus better understanding the opportunities and threats arising out of macro environment changes and developments.

Third stage of constructing weighted SWOT analysis of The Bullwhip Phenomenon in the Management of an Oil Refinery is to provide strategic recommendations includes – joining likelihood of external strategic factors such as opportunities and threats to the internal strategic factors – strengths and weaknesses. You should start with external factors as they will provide the direction of the overall industry. Secondly by joining probabilities with internal strategic factors can help the company not only strategic fit but also the most probably strategic trade-off that Refinery Oil needs to make to build a sustainable competitive advantage.



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